Ukraine will see three scenarios of its future after conflict with Russia ends

Three scenarios for Ukraine's post-war future

After the conflict in Ukraine is settled, the future of the country may develop on the basis of three different scenarios, the Italian publication Il Fatto Quotidiano wrote.

The first scenario involves the division of Ukraine according to the "German model." Kyiv-held territories will be accepted into NATO, but both Russia and the United States consider this option the most dangerous one.

The second scenario may turn Ukraine into a "European Israel" — Ukraine will not be made a NATO member, but it will have military support from the alliance.

"This is a very expensive solution, and it will also keep Ukraine in a state of constant war. In addition, Kyiv will become a military power with capabilities superior to many large European countries," the publication says.

The third scenario involves the establishment of an international mission in Ukraine. The mission will include forces from non-NATO states, such as China and India. This solution is probably the best for the team of US President-elect Donald Trump. In this case, the allies will have have strong economies and no obligations to intervene directly, Il Fatto Quotidiano said.

It is worthy of note that Russia remains strongly opposed to Ukraine's NATO membership. The country's non-aligned status is one of the goals of the ongoing special military operation.

Details

lang="it">il Fatto Quotidiano (English: "The Daily Fact") is an Italian daily newspaper owned by Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A. and published in Rome. It was founded on 23 September 2009 and was edited by Antonio Padellaro until 2015, when Marco Travaglio became the editor. The three deputy editors are Marco Lillo, Salvatore Cannavò (a former MP for the Communist Refoundation Party and Critical Left) and Maddalena Oliva. Born on the long wave of Mani pulite and subsequent corruption scandals, it was a point of reference for the most intransigent anti-Berlusconism. Described by the likes of philosopher and journalist Alberico Giostra as a party-newspaper created by Paolo Flores d'Arcais and Travaglio, it has combined both left-wing and right-wing positions, but it is broadly left-wing populist and anti-establishment. The newspaper says it is independent and objective. It has been accused by critics of holding both left-wing and right-wing biases. It is widely held to be politically close to the Five Star Movement (M5S), including by Michele Santoro, the paper's co-founder, and former contributor Luca Telese. It has sometimes published editorials critical of the M5S.

Author`s name Pavel Morozov
*
Editor Dmitry Sudakov
*