Finland is facing a sharp increase in electricity prices this autumn. In October, the cost per kilowatt-hour (kWh) may exceed 8.5 cents—a 70% rise compared to last year, when rates remained below 5 cents. Prices are projected to climb further to 9 cents per kWh by November.
| Period | Expected Price per kWh | Year-on-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| October | from 8.5 cents | +70% |
| November | up to 9 cents | Significant increase |
| Last Autumn | below 5 cents | Baseline |
The price surge is driven by a combination of environmental factors and geopolitical instability. Low water levels in Swedish and Norwegian reservoirs have reduced hydroelectric output. Additionally, conflicts in Iran and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz are exerting pressure on the market.
Klaes Hemberg, an energy economist at the Swedish company Nibe, attributes sustained high European prices to oil and gas shortages, noting that Germany is currently purchasing fuel at inflated rates. Specialists estimate that even if tensions in the Persian Gulf ease immediately, the market will require six months to a year to recover.
Pekka Salomaa, Director of the Finnish energy industry: "The situation remains stable, but the market expects relatively high prices in the autumn. This, of course, is reflected in the prices for futures contracts."
Due to the "Aurora" line connecting the two energy systems, price hikes will also affect residents of Northern Sweden. In response to potential disruptions, Finland is establishing a financial reserve.
In July, authorities increased the reliability fee for electricity supply sixfold, raising it from 0.013 to 0.085 cents per kWh. This fee applies equally to private households and large industrial plants; funds are earmarked for crisis preparedness.
Technical vulnerabilities further justify these measures. During the 2025/26 winter period, the Finnish power system experienced failures at wind farms, where extreme frosts caused turbine blades to freeze, halting power generation.
Source: This article was adapted from an original Russian-language publication by Pravda.Ru.
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