2013, The Slow Grind Forward
By Stanislav Mishin
This year will bring a slow down in economic growth, which will bring GDP down to 1-1.5% growth. Unemployment will continue to remain extremely low in the cities, at or below 1% and 5-6% in the provinces, on average.Various corruption scandals will continue to break out, embarrassing elements of the government, but over all the climate will pickup.
At least several large demonstrations will occur, though they will not be larger than those of last year, as many people will return to the work of getting ahead in society. The West will continue to "champion" various corrupt elements called the opposition. Nationalists will break with the opposition and will increase their own pressure, forcing a right ward shift in Putin's government. Prominent amongst these will be the rise of several pro-Monarchist movements, from obscurity to a 5-10% hold of the vote with upwards trends.
Birth rates will continue to grow past the replenishment points and median age will increase again, closing on 70 as the average.
There will be several large terrorist attacks and instability in the south will grow. At least one scandal, involving Western intelligence, Saudi Arabia and the Jihadists will break out.
Russia will continue to expand the Eurasian free trade zone, with Uzbekistan becoming the 4th member. Armenia and Turkmenistan will join and Ukraine will be in active negotiations. Elements in Latvia will also push to severe ties with the EU and expand ties with the Eurasians, as the Baltics economies will fall into a second devastating depression.
Russia will be involved directly in the Syrian civil war, though for a short time, defending its base in Tartus and helping reinforce the Alawite zone. Tensions will also grow between Russia and China in Kyrgyzstan. Russian special forces will also take active roles across the Central Asian region, against various Islamic radicals.
Russian troops will also be directly involved in the brief Georgian civil war, which will break out this spring, after being asked to intervene by Prime Minister Ivanoshvili. Brief firefights against American special forces, assisting the illegal government and unconstitutional army of Saakashvilli, will occur but will be covered up by both sides..
The trickle of French and European celebrities emigrating to Russia will pickup and this will also be picked up on by Greeks, Bulgarians, Romanians, Balts and Italians, seeking work. European immigrants, also often illegal, will begin to replace Tajiks and Uzbeks, being Europeans, and Christians, they will be more welcomed by the locals. The influx of British and Scottish farmers will also pickup heavily, bringing some in the UK to question banning farmers from immigration.
The US will face a very rough year, and while all out civil war will be avoided, the stage will be set for an explosion.
The Obama administration will rush through sweeping changes in gun laws, banning not only the sale of new but the ownership of existing semi-automatic assault rifles, large magazines and large caliber pistols, 9mm and above. This will in all effects disarm a very large portion of the population. Protests will erupt, especially in the South, Mid-West and NE (Maine, Vermont, etc). Many will turn violent and the Guard and police will be called out. However, in the South, the Sheriffs will refuse to enforce the Federal laws, bringing the country to the edge of a State-vs-Central Government break down. To avoid a civil war, the movements will be taken to the Supreme Court, which will drag the processes out through the end of the year with no answers.
Several dozen high profile raids on people with home armories, will occur. There will be casualties in the dozens amongst both the civilians (those targeted and neighbors) and the gun seizure police.
Texas' state government will begin hearing motions to secede from the US government and will start actively drumming up international support. The Lykota nation will also start training its own police force and refuse to enforce the Federal laws.
The Gay Agenda will go absolutely mainstream. An official Gay Culture and History Month will be declared and all parks, cities and states will be forced to conduct Sodomite Pride Parades, as well as all schools will be forced to have activities to indoctrinate the youth. At this point, even private schools will be ordered to do so and churches who refuse to allow gay weddings will loose their tax free status, as well as IRS witch hunts against the priests and pastures.
The US dollar will continue to slide downward, as a perpetual Quantitative Easing will occur, to the tune of over $100 Billion per month. Inflation will become undeniable, and standards of living will continue to erode, quickly. The official unemployment rate will remain at 8-8.5% but the unofficial rate will increase to 25-30%. This will also lead to direct clashes with illegals, where mobs of desperate locals will begin burning out houses where known illegals are residing. Rashes of this will explode throughout the border states and the South, raising anger further with the Federal government. American blacks will be in the forefront of this, as racial hatred and lack of jobs fuels disorder.
Large areas of the border will become the domain of Mexican drug gangs, who will actively begin to take over the areas and ethnically cleanse local Anglo ranchers. Whole towns will fall under their control.