Israel creates more and more terrorists as it tries to destroy Hezbollah
More importantly, there are the calculations of the Iranian authorities. Some believe that Iran has much more serious issues to deal with than the new stirrings in the Middle East. Due to the confrontations with theWest and Russia over the question of its nuclear activity, Iran may face sanctions; it seems unlikely that in such circumstances it would risk making its international position worse. However, these new tensions are in fact beneficial to Iran.
Iran’s international position will not become worse at all, even if the whole world is certain that Tehran is behind Hezbollah’s actions, since there can be no proof: the Iranians will not be caught and Tehran denies all “slanderous accusations”. Meanwhile, Iranian propaganda is acting in full force, asking its people: “Who does not allow us to develop peaceful nuclear energy? The enemies of Islam, Americans and Zionists. Who is destroying Lebanon? The enemies of Islam, Americans and Zionists.” Hatred towards the West and Israel amongst the Iranian public is reaching new heights, as is the authority of the ruling powers, “fearless fighters for faith, for Iran’s independence, for the eradication of the cancerous tumor that is Zionist education”.
As for the choice of a certain day for the attack, the decision was probably influenced with a wish to separate Bush and Putin. The attack happened during the days of the G8 summit in St.Petersburg. Does it mean that Israel has been entrapped? It looks like it on the one hand. One the other hand, there is a tradition in Israel to respond to enemies’ attacks with three times more powerful strikes. It is worthy of note that Arab extremists were perfectly aware of that. They knew that the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers would doom the entire Lebanese nation to sufferings. It is hard to imagine that Ehud Olmert, whose authority, experience and charisma pale in comparison with those of Ariel Sharon, could dare to break the tradition. His strike was inevitable, although it seems that he has gone too far. Israel should not have struck blows on the entire territory of Lebanon. Hundreds of civilians have been killed, hundreds of thousands of people have turned to refugees. In addition to all war problems, Lebanon is suffering from a humanitarian catastrophe.
Many specialists believe that Israel will not be able to terminate terrorists in Lebanon. Quite on the contrary, Israel is creating more and more of them while bombing Lebanon.
A large-scale war typical to those in 1967 or 1973 is not likely to follow. Sunni Arab countries will not participate in the war guided by Iran or Hezbollah. Israel will not repeat the events of 1982 when it occupied a half of Lebanon and Beirut. Israel tries to destroy Hezbollah’s terrorist bases, missile systems and military infrastructure in the south of Lebanon. If Ehud Olmert accomplishes this goal he will be able to tell his people that he has kept his promise. Over 90 percent of the Israeli population will support him and vote for the continuation of military actions to push Hezbollah far from the borders of Israel.
The people of Israel are ready to suffer now. However, the majority of them do not realize that Hezbollah is a hard nut to crack. Hezbollah is not a conventional army of mobilized soldiers. This organization unites fanatic individuals - perfectly trained and armed to wage war against Israel. As a result, Israel is destined to suffer from never-ending guerrilla warfare.
Translated by Leila Wilmers
Pravda.Ru
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